各案件を、会社自身の開示資料に照らして4つの観点(約束は具体的か、実行の経過を追えるか、経済性を説明しているか、目標に対する結果を報告しているか)で確認しています。評価方法 →
経営計画・資本政策の見直し/2025-04-09
実施中
公表資料を発表・実施・結果の順に記録しています。この表示は選定した案件の調査状況であり、会社全体の評価ではありません。
出典資料1 ・ 出典資料2
Long-Term Business Plan 2031 revision: ¥260bn strategic investment and 50% return ratio
Kaken raised its strategic-investment envelope to ¥260bn and set a 50%+ shareholder-return ratio with a ¥190 dividend floor, calling the FY2026 interim KPIs reachable two years early. FY2025 then showed an operating loss.
時系列と出典(2件・内容は原文)
- 2025-04-09(公表 2025-04-18)Plan revised Strategic investment raised from ¥200bn to ¥260bn over the plan; shareholder-return ratio of 50% or more, a minimum ¥190 dividend and ¥50bn+ cumulative returns over seven years; FY2031 targets of ¥100bn sales, ¥28.5bn operating profit and ROE of 10% or more. The English deck is dated 9 April; the file was posted on 18 April. 出典資料1
- 2026-05-13FY2025 reported Net sales ¥76.9bn, operating loss ¥0.9bn and ROE 1.4%, against FY2026 interim KPIs of ¥80bn sales, ¥18bn operating profit and ROE of 8%. 出典資料1
経営陣が表明したこと
Kaken raised strategic investment to ¥260bn and set a 50%+ return ratio with a ¥190 dividend floor; FY2031 targets are ¥100bn sales, ¥28.5bn operating profit and ROE of 10%+.
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1
実際に行ったこと・時期
FY2025 results (operating loss ¥0.9bn, ROE 1.4%) are reported but not set against the interim KPIs in the reviewed sources.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1
経済性について開示したこと
The investment and return envelopes are quantified; deal-level returns are not.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1
その後の経過
The FY2026 interim check is not due.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1
残る論点
Investor question: can the FY2026 KPIs still be met, and how is the return policy funded? IR preparation: publish a KPI tracker and an investment-spent table.
当調査の分析(会社の説明ではありません)
約束は具体的か5/5Investment envelope, return ratio, dividend floor and interim and final KPIs are quantified and dated.
実行の経過を追えるか3/5The revision and FY2025 results are dated, but the reviewed sources do not reconcile FY2025 to the interim KPIs or report investment spent since the revision.
経済性を説明しているか4/5The investment split (M&A and in-licensing, R&D, capex) and return policy are quantified; project returns are not.
目標に対する結果を報告しているか時期未到来The FY2026 interim KPIs fall due in March 2027.
自己株式取得/2025-02-26
完了
公表資料を発表・実施・結果の順に記録しています。この表示は選定した案件の調査状況であり、会社全体の評価ではありません。
出典資料1 ・ 出典資料2 ・ 出典資料3
Repurchase and cancellation of 1.8 million shares (4.52%) for ¥8.3bn (February-May 2025)
Kaken resolved to buy up to 1.8 million shares (4.52%) and ¥9.0bn by 30 September 2025 and cancel 1.8 million shares on 30 May 2025, citing its return policy and the dilution from a January 2025 disposal of 1,791,400 treasury shares. It completed the purchase on 11 April for ¥8,273,755,600 and cancelled the shares on 30 May. On TDnet the resolution and the March status report are in Japanese only; the English website lists both on the Japanese dates.
時系列と出典(3件・内容は原文)
- 2025-02-26Repurchase and cancellation resolved Up to 1.8 million shares and ¥9.0bn, 27 February to 30 September 2025; 1.8 million shares to be cancelled on 30 May 2025; reasons: LTBP2031 return policy (payout 30%+, total return 50%+), capital efficiency and offsetting the January 2025 disposal. 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-02-26)
- 2025-04-11(公表 2025-04-14)Repurchase completed 1,800,000 shares bought for ¥8,273,755,600 by 11 April 2025 (538,800 in April). 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-04-14)
- 2025-05-30Shares cancelled 1,800,000 shares (3.91%) cancelled; 44,139,730 shares issued afterwards. 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-05-30)
経営陣が表明したこと
Kaken resolved on 26 February 2025 to buy up to 1.8 million shares and ¥9.0bn and cancel 1.8 million shares on 30 May, under its 50% total-return policy and to offset a January share disposal.
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-02-26)
実際に行ったこと・時期
It bought all 1.8 million shares for ¥8,273,755,600 by 11 April and cancelled them on 30 May 2025.
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-04-14) ・ 出典資料2(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-05-30)
経済性について開示したこと
The economics rest on the return policy and dilution offset; the effect on EPS or ROE is not quantified.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-02-26)
その後の経過
Both the purchase and the cancellation are reported as complete against the resolution.
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-04-14) ・ 出典資料2(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-05-30)
残る論点
Investor question: what was the net effect of the January disposal and the February repurchase together? IR preparation: show shares outstanding and cash returned net of the disposal.
当調査の分析(会社の説明ではありません)
約束は具体的か5/5Share and value limits, period, cancellation number and date, and reasons tied to the plan's return policy are stated in advance.
実行の経過を追えるか4/5Completion and cancellation are reported with totals; the English website carries every step on the Japanese dates, but on TDnet the resolution and March status were filed in Japanese only.
経済性を説明しているか3/5The amount is linked to the total-return policy and the offset of the January disposal; no EPS, ROE or price discipline is given.
目標に対する結果を報告しているか5/5The full share limit was bought within seven weeks under the value limit, and the cancellation was completed on the planned date.
買収/2025-08-07
実施中
公表資料を発表・実施・結果の順に記録しています。この表示は選定した案件の調査状況であり、会社全体の評価ではありません。
出典資料1 ・ 出典資料2
Japanese rights to navenibart from Astria Therapeutics: $16m upfront, up to $16m milestones, royalties (August 2025)
Kaken licensed Japanese development and commercialization rights to navenibart, a long-acting HAE prophylactic in Phase 3, for $16m upfront, up to $16m in commercial and sales milestones, tiered royalties and a share of Phase 3 cost. The September 2025 forecast revision booked the upfront payment (about ¥2.3bn).
時系列と出典(2件・内容は原文)
- 2025-08-06(公表 2025-08-07)Licence agreed Exclusive Japanese licence; $16m upfront, commercial and sales milestones up to $16m, tiered royalties; Kaken pays part of the Phase 3 cost and handles filing and sales in Japan. 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-08-07)
- 2025-09-26Forecast revised FY2025 operating profit forecast cut from ¥5.2bn to ¥2.1bn, partly to reflect the $16m (about ¥2.3bn) upfront payment and the gMSC1 upfront payment. 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-09-26)
経営陣が表明したこと
Kaken licensed Japanese rights to navenibart from Astria for $16m upfront, up to $16m in milestones and tiered royalties, sharing Phase 3 cost.
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-08-07)
実際に行ったこと・時期
The September 2025 forecast revision booked the upfront payment (about ¥2.3bn).
会社の開示資料による ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-09-26)
経済性について開示したこと
Costs are disclosed; the expected sales and return are not, and the Phase 3 cost share is not quantified.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-08-07)
その後の経過
The product is still in Phase 3.
一部開示(不足あり) ・ 出典資料1(英文は日本語版と同日。日本語版 2025-08-07)
残る論点
Investor question: how do the 2025 in-licensing deals add up against the ¥260bn strategic-investment envelope in LTBP2031? IR preparation: report licensing spend against the plan's investment allocation.
当調査の分析(会社の説明ではありません)
約束は具体的か4/5Upfront, milestone ceiling, royalty structure and cost-sharing are disclosed; there is no sales goal and the Phase 3 cost share is not quantified.
実行の経過を追えるか4/5The notice promised to report the forecast effect, and the September revision does so, naming the payment in yen.
経済性を説明しているか3/5The cost terms are clear, but the expected revenue and return are not given.
目標に対する結果を報告しているか時期未到来Navenibart is in Phase 3; there is no approval or sales to report against.